You know what? Data clearly shows that the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) is a party in decline.

Look here and follow with me.

• In 2009: DPP (Democratic Progressive Party) dominated the election with 66.17% of the vote, showcasing a strong hold on the electorate. In contrast, MCP (Malawi Congress Party) received 30.49%, indicating a weaker position. DPP got two times the votes of MCP which came second in that election.

• 2014: DPP saw a dramatic decline in its voter share, dropping to 36.42%. DPP lost 50% of its voter share though the party won the elections. This sharp decrease reflected voter dissatisfaction and significant political shifts. Though MCP lost again, the party’s voter share did not decrease much. It only slightly dropped to 27.80% suggesting relative stability for the party.

• 2019: The results showed a narrowing gap between the two parties. Though DPP won the elections again, it only slightly increased its share with just about 2% points from 36.42% to 38.57%, while MCP saw a significant rise of 8% points to 35.41%. This shows that MCP grew in strength and performed better than DPP between 2014 and 2019 despite losing elections.

• 2020: MCP experienced a remarkable surge, obtaining 59.34% of the votes. While the historic win for MCP was influenced by the Tonse Alliance especially UTM votes and also the change in the electoral laws, it also indicates a major shift in voter preference towards MCP and further weakening of DPP if we look back at 2009 where DPP alone could get more than the 59.34% combined votes of Tonse Alliance.

The weakening of DPP is further confirmed by the fact that it also got into an alliance with UDF but only realized a marginal increase of around 1% point from 38.57% to 39.92%.

This party, this DPP, is not winning next year. Forget it.